Emmys 2012: 'Homeland' is a lock, but can any other new show break through?

claire-danes-homeland-emmy-noms.jpgNominations for the 2012 Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced in less than two weeks, and it's a near certainty that Showtime's "Homeland" will be a big player in the awards.

Claire Danes is among the favorites for outstanding lead actress in a drama series, and the show should join the field for best drama. Danes' costars Damian Lewis and Mandy Patinkin stand a good chance of scoring nominations as well.

But "Homeland" might be the only member of the 2011-12 season's freshman class to score big nomination totals when they're announced on July 19. Last season featured a pretty decent crop of new series, but given the stranglehold veteran shows like "Breaking Bad" and "Mad Men" (drama) and "Modern Family" and "Glee" (comedy) have in their respective categories, it could be tough for the newcomers to break into the club.

Here are a handful of first-year shows that might have a good chance of getting into the Emmy field.

"New Girl": Zooey Deschanel is likely to score a nomination for lead comedy actress, and the show has a decent chance of scoring a comedy series nod too (likely displacing "The Office"). The show's male stars, however, are longer shots in the supporting actor category that's been dominated by "Modern Family" the past two years.

"Once Upon a Time": While it's unlikely that the series or any of its actors will be nominated (though Lana Parrilla is a dark horse for supporting drama actress), the show could rack up quite a few nominations in the Creative Arts category for its production design, costumes and special effects.

"Girls": A writing nod for creator/star Lena Dunham is not a bad bet. But it's unlikely that the generally conservative TV academy will give the provocative HBO comedy a series nomination.

"Smash": The season's love-to-hate-it show isn't a real contender for best drama, but Megan Hilty -- consistently one of the best things about the NBC drama -- could get one of the supporting actress nominations (unless she's frozen out by a passel of "Downton Abbey" cast members, who are moving from the miniseries field to drama series this year). "Smash" should also get a number of Creative Arts nominations.

"Veep": Emmy perennial Julia Louis-Dreyfus has a solid chance at earning her 13th nomination for playing the harried vice president.

Which new shows do you hope to see nominated for Emmys?
Photo/Video credit: Showtime
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